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To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer, if he will publish his assessments of the range of scenarios for gross national income in (a) 2020-21, (b) 2021-22 and )c) 2022-23.
HM Treasury does not produce forecasts of the economy or public finances.
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) is responsible for producing forecasts of the economy and public finances. On 14 April the OBR published a reference scenario assessing the potential impact of coronavirus on the economy and public finances. In this scenario real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is assumed to fall by 12.8 per cent in 2020 before recovering quickly, growing by 16.1% in 2021. The OBR assume that real GDP grows by 1.5% in 2022, 1.3% in 2023, and 1.4% in 2024. The OBR note that the Government’s policy response should help limit the long-term damage to the economy and public finances.