Organs: Donors

Department of Health and Social Care written question – answered on 2nd March 2020.

Alert me about debates like this

Photo of Dan Jarvis Dan Jarvis Labour, Barnsley Central

To ask the Secretary of State for Health and Social Care, pursuant to the Answer of 27 January 2020 to Question 8296 on Transplant Surgery: Finance, if he will place in the Library a copy of his Department’s modelling on the anticipated impact of that Act on the number of organs (a) donated and (b) transplanted in each of the transplant units in England.

Photo of Helen Whately Helen Whately Minister of State (Department of Health and Social Care)

Holding answer received on 27 February 2020

Officials in the Department, NHS Blood and Transplant and NHS England have worked together to model the anticipated impact of the Organ Donation (Deemed Consent) Act 2019 on the number of organs donated and transplanted across England. A summary of this analysis is shown in the following table. These projections have been produced using the best available evidence and will be revised as the precise impact of the switch to an opt-out system becomes clearer.

Projected number of deceased donors in England

Year

2017/18 (actual)

2018/19 (actual)

2019/20

2020/21

2021/22

2022/23

2023/24

Deceased Donors

1,358

1,371

1,398

1,430

1,497

1,597

1,606

Projected number of adult transplants in England per centre

Centre

Baseline

2019/20

2020/21

2021/22

2022/23

2023/24

Birmingham

383

410

432

454

484

488

Bristol

104

106

110

116

124

125

Cambridge

300

304

317

333

356

359

Coventry

46

48

50

52

56

57

Guy's

187

183

191

200

214

215

Harefield

83

91

99

103

110

110

King's College

205

212

221

232

247

249

Leeds

247

259

270

284

303

306

Leicester

101

95

100

105

112

113

Liverpool

90

90

94

98

105

106

Manchester

264

303

319

335

357

360

Newcastle

161

187

198

208

221

224

Nottingham

66

75

79

83

88

89

Oxford

221

230

240

250

268

269

Papworth

88

100

112

116

123

124

Plymouth

49

48

50

53

56

57

Portsmouth

74

85

88

93

100

100

Royal Free

200

223

233

246

262

264

Royal London

146

131

137

144

154

155

Sheffield

51

56

59

62

66

67

St George’s

116

112

117

123

132

133

West London Renal and Transplant Centre

144

151

157

165

176

178

Total

3,326

3,498

3,671

3,857

4,113

4,149

Notes:

Assumptions for transplant projections

1. The projections are based primarily on an assumed number of donors for the next five financial years which incorporate extra donors due to opt-out legislation. The donor projections may be subject to change with further statistical modelling.

2. The conversion from target donors to transplants are based on the conversion rates observed over the last three years (2016/17 – 2018/19). The projections assume several organ utilisation initiatives will have an impact on the number of transplants.

3. The transplant projections are not based upon the number of English residents, but transplants performed at centres in England. This is because organ allocation arrangements are United Kingdom-wide and not limited to England.

Does this answer the above question?

Yes2 people think so

No0 people think not

Would you like to ask a question like this yourself? Use our Freedom of Information site.