To ask the Secretary of State for Transport, with reference to his Department's paper, Rail passenger numbers and crowding statistics: 2016 report, published on 27 July 2017, what assessment his Department has made of (a) future crowding on South West Mainline into Waterloo and (b) the effect of Crossrail 2 on those figures.
These forecasts are published at Table 2 of Annex A, which could be found at: https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/630675/high-level-output-specification-print.pdf
These forecasts are for peak hour and peak 3 hour demand on all South West Trains services into Waterloo. For the peak three hours, the arrivals into Waterloo are 119,100 and rises to 123,500 by 2023/24. That is why we are currently investing in the Waterloo and South West upgrade programme, which will provide space for 30 per cent more passengers during the busiest times of the day.
The Government recognises the case for further capacity improvements in London and the South East, such as those that Crossrail 2 could deliver. We are currently considering TfL’s business case for the proposal, which contains analysis of the impact Crossrail 2 could have on crowding across London and the South East.