To ask the Secretary of State for Health what estimate his Department has made of the number of (a) men and (b) women who will be diagnosed with heart disease before the age of 75 in each of the next five years; and what plans his Department has to reduce this number.
The Department has made no such estimate. We do know that, because of an aging population, there will be an increase in the prevalence of heart disease. Other factors may also influence incidence, particularly lifestyle factors.
Over the last decade mortality from heart disease has reduced by 40%. The national health service continues to work hard to reduce heart disease. For example, it is currently implementing the NHS Health Check programme. This is a risk assessment and risk management programme aimed at people between 40 to 74 designed to reduce their risk of heart disease, stroke, diabetes and kidney disease. On average, the programme could prevent 1,600 heart attacks and strokes a year, and detect at least 20,000 cases of diabetes and kidney disease (risk factors for heart disease) earlier. A cardiovascular disease outcomes strategy is also being developed which will help to identify what will make the biggest impact on reducing the burden of heart disease now and in the future.