Jobseeker's Allowance

Work and Pensions written question – answered on 14th March 2012.

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Photo of Liam Byrne Liam Byrne Shadow Secretary of State for Work and Pensions

To ask the Secretary of State for Work and Pensions what proportion of jobseeker's allowance (JSA) claimants were flowed off JSA respectively within three, six, nine, 12, 18 and 24 months of being on JSA in each of the last 18 months.

Photo of Chris Grayling Chris Grayling The Minister of State, Department for Work and Pensions

Estimated off-flow rates from jobseeker's allowance are shown in the following table. It should be noted that it is misleading to make a direct comparison between current off-flow rates and those in 2010. This is because recent figures have been affected by changes in policy that mean unemployed people are now less likely to be excluded from the jobseeker's allowance statistics as a result of their participation in Government-funded employment and training programmes.

It is not possible to quantify precisely what effect this has had on the rate at which individuals leave JSA. However, any assessment of current figures needs to take account of the fact that if the current practice of continuing to count individuals on Government programmes within the JSA statistics had been in place in 2010 and earlier the off-flow rates for those periods would have been lower than recorded at the time.

Proportion of inflow leaving JSA within certain periods
Percentage
  3 months 6 months 9 months 12 months 18 months 24 months
2010            
August 57 77 86 92 95 98
September 57 78 87 92 95 98
October 58 78 88 92 95 98
November 59 78 88 92 95 98
December 59 79 89 92 95 98
             
2011            
January 57 78 88 93 96 98
February 54 78 88 93 96 98
March 52 77 87 93 96 98
April 52 76 87 92 96 98
May 53 75 87 92 96 98
June 54 74 87 92 96 98
July 53 73 86 92 96 98
August 53 73 85 91 96 98
September 53 73 84 91 96 98
October 56 73 83 90 96 98
November 57 73 83 90 96 98
December 58 73 83 89 96 98
             
2012            
January 56 74 82 88 95 98
Note: These off-flow rates are derived from aggregate data on JSA inflows, caseloads by duration and off-flows by duration. The data are used to calculate the number of people each month reaching a certain duration in their JSA claim. These threshold flows are then compared back to the JSA inflow in an earlier month. The threshold flow as a proportion of the earlier inflow gives the survival rate. One minus the survival rate gives the off-flow rate. Source: www.nomisweb.co.uk All figures are three-month rolling averages.

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