Estimated off-flow rates from jobseeker's allowance are shown in the following table. It should be noted that it is misleading to make a direct comparison between current off-flow rates and those in 2010. This is because recent figures have been affected by changes in policy that mean unemployed people are now less likely to be excluded from the jobseeker's allowance statistics as a result of their participation in Government-funded employment and training programmes.
It is not possible to quantify precisely what effect this has had on the rate at which individuals leave JSA. However, any assessment of current figures needs to take account of the fact that if the current practice of continuing to count individuals on Government programmes within the JSA statistics had been in place in 2010 and earlier the off-flow rates for those periods would have been lower than recorded at the time.
|Proportion of inflow leaving JSA within certain periods|
|3 months||6 months||9 months||12 months||18 months||24 months|
|Note: These off-flow rates are derived from aggregate data on JSA inflows, caseloads by duration and off-flows by duration. The data are used to calculate the number of people each month reaching a certain duration in their JSA claim. These threshold flows are then compared back to the JSA inflow in an earlier month. The threshold flow as a proportion of the earlier inflow gives the survival rate. One minus the survival rate gives the off-flow rate. Source: www.nomisweb.co.uk All figures are three-month rolling averages.|