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The number of teachers that schools employ in future years will, as now, be a matter for them to decide, according to local needs and subject to statutory requirements on class sizes where appropriate. For funding purposes, the Department has produced overall estimates of teaching posts in state schools and academies in England.
The Government do not produce estimates of the future numbers of teaching posts in particular subjects. Estimates of the proportion of teachers working in secondary schools who will be qualified in different subjects are however produced as part of the Department for Education's teacher supply and demand modelling process. These estimates, broken down by subject, are not currently made for teachers working in primary schools.
The latest School Workforce Census data indicates there are around 13,200 art teachers in state funded secondary schools. Of these, around 11,400 hold a relevant post A-level qualification. Estimates for the future number of specialist art teachers in state funded secondary schools indicate that there will be a decrease of around 100 to 200 teachers in each year. This is in line with a decreasing requirement for secondary teachers as a result of the ongoing decline in secondary pupil numbers.