The Department does not produce forecasts of long term unemployment. The Department produces projections for business planning purposes which are aligned to the overall independent claimant count forecast published by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) alongside the June 2010 Budget. These projections are not OBR forecasts.
The available projections are in the table.
|Long term unemployed (GB)|
| Notes: |
1. For the purposes of this answer long-term unemployed is assumed to mean those claiming jobseekers' allowance for 12 months or longer.
2. Figures are for Great Britain, rounded to the nearest thousand and are an average point-in-time caseload for each financial year. They do not represent the numbers reaching 12 months in receipt of jobseeker's allowance.
3. Figures are subject to a significant degree of uncertainty.
DWP internal planning