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Climate Change: Sea Temperatures

House of Lords written question – answered on 6th November 2009.

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Photo of Lord Stoddart of Swindon Lord Stoddart of Swindon Independent Labour

To ask Her Majesty's Government what assessment they have made of research by Professor Don Easterbrook of Washington University that there is a correlation between sea temperatures and global temperatures and that the present trend indicates thirty years of global cooling.

Photo of Lord Hunt of Kings Heath Lord Hunt of Kings Heath Deputy Leader of the House of Lords, House of Lords, Minister of State, Department of Energy and Climate Change, Minister of State (Department of Energy and Climate Change), Deputy Leader of the House of Lords

Professor Easterbrook has claimed that global average temperature may decrease over the next 30 years, due to the onset of a cool phase in a natural pattern of Pacific climate variability that is often referred to as the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO). My department is not, however, aware of any scientific articles published by Professor Easterbrook to support his claim and considers the suggested scenario to be very unlikely.

Historical records of global average and regional temperatures show that the PDO produces at most only a small effect on global average temperature. As a result, the PDO is not expected to produce a global average effect large enough to overcome the amount of warming expected over the next 30 years from current and future levels of greenhouse gases.

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Annotations

David Wright
Posted on 9 Nov 2009 5:59 pm (Report this annotation)

I think the question was answered well enough in that it describes the assessment that the government have made. The assessment itself reveals their complete infatuation with the discredited anthropogenic global warming hypothesis. They have now painted themselves into a corner, having made such a committment to the idea, they will have trouble finding enough wiggle room to get out of it when it is unequivocally shown to be false. Unfortunately, by that time, they will have done yet more untold damage to the UK economy to add to their already dismal record.