Communities and Local Government written question – answered at on 16 January 2007.
To ask the Secretary of State for Communities and Local Government what her Department's latest estimate is of net migration (a) per year and (b) over the next 20 years into (i) each Government Office region in England and (ii) England.
I have been asked to reply.
The information requested falls within the responsibility of the National Statistician, who has been asked to reply.
Letter from Colin Mowl, dated
As National Statistician, I have been asked to reply to your question about the latest estimates of net migration (a) per year and (b) over the next 20 years at England and Government Office Region level. I am replying in her absence. (114499)
The Office for National Statistics publishes international migration estimates for calendar years in its migration annual reference volume (series MN) which can be found on the ONS website at http://nswebcopy/STATBASE/Product.asp?vlnk=507. The most recent estimates on this basis are for 2004.
Mid-year to mid-year estimates of net international migration are calculated as a component of change within the official population estimates. Table 1 shows the 2003-04 and 2004-05 net international migration used in these estimates.
The ONS is also responsible for the regular production of official national and subnational population projections. In producing these, the ONS makes assumptions on the future levels of international migration over the projected period. These assumptions are based upon observed historic trends in migration and are the subject of a consultation with key users and local authorities. Table 2 shows the assumptions on future levels of net international migration for years 2005-06 to 2007-08 as used in the most recent, 2004-based, sets of projections. The international migration assumptions for the year 2007-08 are the long-term assumptions and remain at the same level for the following 20 years. Note that these assumptions are based on historic data to mid 2004 only and so are not consistent with the 2004-05 estimates shown in Table 1.
Table 1: Net international migration( 1) for England and Government Office Regions used in the mid-year estimates | ||
Thousand | ||
2003-04 | 2004-05 | |
England | 165 | 234 |
North East | 4 | 12 |
NorthWest | 14 | 10 |
Yorkshire and The Humber | 17 | 12 |
East Midlands | 4 | 7 |
West Midlands | 10 | 24 |
East | 0 | 23 |
London | 101 | 116 |
South East | 8 | 27 |
South West | 5 | 4 |
(1) Excludes cross border flows to and from other UK countries Source: Office for National Statistics |
Table 2: Net international migration( 1) for England and Government Office Regions used in the 2004-based subnational population projections | |||
Thousand | |||
2005-06 | 2006-07 | ( 2) 2007-08 | |
England | 182 | 160 | 138 |
North East | 5 | 5 | 4 |
North West | 13 | 11 | 9 |
Yorkshire and The Humber | 20 | 19 | 17 |
East Midlands | 4 | 3 | 2 |
West Midlands | 13 | 11 | 10 |
East | 5 | 3 | 2 |
London | 100 | 91 | 83 |
South East | 17 | 13 | 10 |
South West | 5 | 3 | 2 |
(1) Excludes cross border flows to and from other UK countries (2) The international migration assumptions for the year 2007-08 are the long-term assumptions and remain at the same level for the following 20 years Source: Office for National Statistics |
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