I have been asked to reply.
The information requested falls within the responsibility of the National Statistician who has been asked to reply.
Letter from Jill Matheson, dated
The National Statistician has been asked to reply to your recent Parliamentary Question asking what assessment has been made of the predicted incidence of cancer in 2020 relative to current levels (a) in the UK and (b) internationally. I am replying in her absence. (62180)
At present, no figures are available centrally on the future incidence of cancer in the UK.
A project team has been set up with the intention of producing long-term cancer projections up to 2020 for the major cancer sites for England. This is one of several projects conducted by the United Kingdom Association of Cancer Registries (UKACR) Analysis Sub-group on projecting future rates and future numbers of cancer patients. A report will be produced for the Department of Health.
Projections for Scotland were published in Cancer in Scotland: Sustaining Change—Cancer Incidence Projections for Scotland (2001–2020)" in November 2004. This is available at: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/30859/0012657.pdf
A European workshop on this topic will be held in September 2006.