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Departments have registered pressures in the June monitoring round of £234·6 million on resource departmental expenditure limits (DEL) and £327·1 million on capital DEL. A recent high-level assessment by my officials indicates that over £100 million of these pressures are inescapable.
In addition to departmental pressures, failure to implement welfare reform has put at risk the budgetary flexibilities negotiated in the Stormont House Agreement, which included flexibility to repay the £100 million reserve claim in 2014-15 and the £114 million reduction to our Budget for non-implementation of welfare reform from capital budgets.
As you can imagine, we have to go into quite some detail with accounting officers to find out which bids are speculative as opposed to contractual. That is the element — whether Departments are contractually obliged to deliver on particular issues — that we really look at. After that exercise, as I have indicated, we believe that the inescapable pressures, not the things that it would be nice to do, or good to do, would be in and around £100 million.