Economic Outlook

Oral Answers to Questions — National Finance – in the House of Commons at 12:00 am on 14 January 1988.

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Photo of Mr David Knox Mr David Knox , Staffordshire Moorlands 12:00, 14 January 1988

To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he will make a statement on the economic outlook for the rest of the current financial year.

Photo of Mr John Major Mr John Major , Huntingdon

The United Kingdom economy continues to show the winning combination of strong growth, low inflation and sound public finance.

Photo of Mr David Knox Mr David Knox , Staffordshire Moorlands

The Chancellor's economic policies have resulted in a substantial reduction in unemployment during the past year. Does my right hon. Friend think that present policies will result in a similar reduction in unemployment during the next 12 months, and does he think that there is any chance that unemployment will be less than 2 million in a year's time?

Photo of Mr John Major Mr John Major , Huntingdon

I certainly do not propose to make forecasts of the future rate of unemployment. My hon. Friend is entirely correct to point out that unemployment has fallen by over half a million in the last year and 300,000 in the last six months, and today's figures again show unemployment down by 35,000. I am particularly pleased to see youth unemployment down and an especially welcome fall in the west midlands, Wales, the north-west and the north.

Photo of Mr Jack Ashley Mr Jack Ashley , Stoke-on-Trent South

Will the Chief Secretary bear in mind that the collapsing dollar is very greatly damaging to our export industries, especially the pottery industry? Notwithstanding what was said a moment ago about our exports, will he do what he can to strengthen the dollar in order to aid our exports?

Photo of Mr John Major Mr John Major , Huntingdon

The fall in the dollar is undoubtedly unsettling, as my right hon. Friend has made clear on a number of occasions. The performance of British exports in recent months has been excellent and we are keen to ensure that that contiinues.

Photo of Mr Robert McCrindle Mr Robert McCrindle , Brentwood and Ongar

Does my right hon. Friend perceive any danger of overheating in the economy in the months that lie ahead? Can he give the House any indication of what steps the Government have it within their power to take if that trend should develop?

Photo of Mr John Major Mr John Major , Huntingdon

We do not see any signs of overheating, so I think that the second part of my hon. Friend's question does not arise.